US Non-Farm Payrolls And Forex Day Trading System
Posted in Forex Day Trading System on October 19th, 2010 by adminMost people who get involved with forex day trading system do not realize how significant to the global financial markets the US Non-Farm Payroll happens to be. I often get the question , " why does the US jobs number each month cause the market to bounce up and down after it has been released ?" To provide an answer to the question it is important to look at what is represented by the US jobs number . Then we will have our insights as to why it makes the markets move like nothing else .
The US Non-Farm payroll report is released on the first Friday of every new month . The US Bureau of Labor and Statistics is the one to release it and the things that it does measure, is the number of new jobs, outside of farming , created in the prior month by the US economy . It is of such importance because the health of the US and global economy are both reflected . In reality , this economy is the world’s largest and within the US the main component happens to be consumer spending; this actually totals at least 70% ! So , in forex day trading system, because a country’s interest rates is the number one factor affecting the strength or weakness of its currency , one must look to what drives the actual interest rates themselves ; or the US Federal Reserve policy on interest rates. Probably the most important data for the Fed to use is this job report to set short term interest rates and because of this, this report can and usually does , can lead to market volatility.
Why does the jobs report have anything to do with where the Federal Reserve sets short term interest rates ? Great question ! If the jobs report comes out strong usually it means that people have employment and the utilization of resources is high . This means workers are being hired by companies and workers, or consumers, are spending money on things like eating out, shopping for clothes, etc and the economy is driven by these things ; they help to heat or grow the economy. When the economy is growing, this means that there is more money circulating and inflation must be kept in check by the Federal Reserve . They can keep inflation in check and lower inflation by raising the short term interest rates, which cools the economy down , or they heat up the economy by lowering the short term rates to help raise inflation . So you see , so the job number is a huge factor , beneath the surface driving this .
So next time you are preparing for your forex day trading system week or the next day, look closely at the information that is going to be released on the events calendar. If you’re in the first week of the month then you’ll have the Non-Farm Payrolls report to look forward to on Friday of that first week since that’s always when it’s released . If you’re looking to take advantage of the volatility that comes after the release of the jobs report , simply keep the following formula in mind : If the number of jobs are stronger than anticipated, it usually means the economy is stronger which means short term interest rates will go higher, strengthening the currency . Conversely , if the jobs report comes out weaker than expected usually you’ll get short term interest rates that are lower, causing weakness of currency . Of course it’s not always this cut and dry or black and white , but this knowledge can give you a bit of an advantage over your competitors who are trading alongside you.
